Differences in infection rates are statistically insignificant and New York has the highest death rate. "At the end of the 15 day period, we will make a decision as to which way we want to go.". The guidance failed to acknowledge that people who don't have symptoms can spread the virus and didn't say anything about wearing masks. Every Sunday at 11:00am EST/New York. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. Dr. Oxiris Barbot the former New York City health chief who led the Big Apple through the beginning of the pandemic when the state was seeing almost 1,000 daily deaths told CNBC it was apparent by late February that the coronavirus had the potential to become catastrophic. In a tweet on Sunday, President Trump suggested there should be a limit to how long social distancing can reasonably be enforced. We want to hear from you. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. Follow her on Mastodon and Post News. In New York City, some hospitals were overwhelmed, but the initial wave soon passed. This Project is supported by Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Stavros Niarchos Foundation (SNF). On March 16, 2020, the Trump administration released a 15-day planto slow the spread of the coronavirus in the US. NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant says it will take seven to 14 days to know if the "flatten the curve" measures are working. - We've Got to do Something! This will be the detriment of many already dead and countless more that will die from this virus (particularly in a contintent like Africa). flatten the curve, severe cases Indeed, this mass suffering has already begun in many parts of the world. As TFTP hasreported, we predicted this. Similarly, former presidential advisor and physician Ezekiel Emmanuelflatly statedthat there is no choice but to stay locked down indefinitely: Realistically, COVID-19 will be here for the next 18 months or more. While the President leads a nationwide response, bringing together government resources and private-sector ingenuity, every American can help slow the virus spread and keep our most high-risk populations safe: Todays guidelines build on the CDCs general recommendations to help prevent spread of the virus. While many folks, including those in government, have begun to open their eyes to the data and realize that locking people in their homes, shutting down society, and forcibly medicating people against their will does not stop Covid, others are still pressing on. PCR testing and some straightforward assumptions indicate that, as of April 29, 2020, more than half a million people in Stockholm county, Sweden, which is about 2025% of the population, have been infected (Hansson D, Swedish Public Health Agency, personal communication). Because the moment were no longer wondering whether we should be doing it, its too late, Mina said. But that safety never came and it never will. Ethics of Digital Contact Tracing: Principles. 13.000. If tough containment worked for China and South Korea, then so should it also for the rest of the world. The CDC produced the original image, which showed how disease-control behaviors could reduce the peak of infections in a pandemic. We are supposed to applaud the notion that if we behave the government will grant us rights we already have five months from now? More importantly, we saw an increase in rhetoric that specifically rejected the idea of avoiding infection. Even as states across the country continue to close schools, force citizens to wear masks and fire people for refusing the jab, the U.S. set a record for the highest daily case count in the entire world at 1 million. This idea was premised on spreading out the total number of COVID-19 infections over time, so as to not overburden the healthcare infrastructure. This article was published more than1 year ago. Also in June, TFTP covered the findings of anMIT scientist who reporteda data analysis of the economic impact of the lockdown noting that whilst it played a key contributing role to the sharp rise of unemployment, it did not make a significant reduction in deaths. In those days, it was still considered madness to suggest outlawing jobs for millions of Americans or shutting down entire national economies in an effort to flatten the curve. Thus, the article lists for more moderate mitigation strategies: By taking certain stepscanceling large public gatherings, for instance, and encouraging some people to restrict their contact with othersgovernments have a shot at stamping out new chains of transmission, while also trying to mitigate the damage of the spread that isnt under control. The virus does not seem lethal in most cases if proper medical oversight is given. according to infectious diseases expert Osterholm, it has 10 15 times the fatality rate of the flu. "Fifteen days of aggressive social distancing is necessary, but will not be sufficient," she said. We adapt to our new and improved circumstances and then lower the bar for what we count as intolerable levels of discomfort and risk." Youll experience severe illness in many cases.. A person checks in at security at an international departure terminal at John F. Kennedy Airport in New York on March 7. Barbot, now a professor at the Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, said in a phone interview that the federal government's testing woes put the city "behind the eight ball before the game even got started. The United States and other countries, experts say, are likely to be hit by tsunamis of Covid-19 cases in the coming weeks without aggressive public health responses. Alessandro Vespignani, director of the Network Science Institute at Northeastern University, is gravely worried about what hes hearing from contacts in Italy, where people initially played down the outbreak as a kind of flu, he said. Sign up for How To Read This Chart, a weekly data newsletter from Philip Bump. And so the more that we can minimize it, the better.. That means that we know we should be doing it. Its healthcare system has not been overwhelmed, he said, adding that its approach could be a model for other countries when lockdowns begin to relax. What does the coronavirus mean for the U.S. health care system? This afternoon, President Trump and the White House Coronavirus Task Force issued new guidelines to help protect Americans during the global Coronavirus outbreak. Surgeon General (March 2020). "They are NOT effective in preventing general public from catching coronavirus, but if health-care providers can't get them to care for sick patients, it puts them and our communities at risk! "It is fair to say, some form of social distancing will be required until we have a vaccine or effective treatment identified," Morrato said. Best trending 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme. Line shows 7-day moving average of new cases per day in this state. Similarly, in Colorado,during an April 1 briefing, GovernorJared Polis stated that when it comes to COVID-19his policy is stamping this out, and claimed that mandatory social distancing could not be eased until total cases were falling. But it probably will increase the chances that they surreptitiously gather indoors Rules that are really more about showing that youre doing something versus doing something thats actually effective are counterproductive." Meeting outside, opening windows and wearing face coverings did far more. WebThe first case of COVID-19 in Germany was reported 987 days ago on January 26, 2020. JHU.edu Copyright 2023 by Johns Hopkins University & Medicine. But the idea that everyone will sit at home until a vaccine is found has at the moment fallen out of favor except in the most dogmatically leftist areas. What we got, of course, was something much more far reaching, radical, and disastrous for both the economy and forlong-term health problems. Our government in the Netherlands is basing their strategy completely on the above model, and Im convinced it will be a disaster. Trump's 15-Day Coronavirus Response Plan to Flatten Curve Is Sweden has put in place a very strong public health policy, Mike Ryan said, but unlike many other countries has chosen to rely on its relationship with its citizenry and trust them to self-regulate. Over the last two years, one of the largest power grabs in the history of the world has taken place as fearful citizens willingly surrendered their rights to the state for the promise of safety. It suggested late Tuesday afternoon that there had been 808 cases in the U.S. and 28 deaths. Most in the deaths have been in the Seattle area. So maybe its time to revive flatten the curve. Maybe emphasizing that the rampant spread of the virus means a strain on hospitals and, crucially, on health-care workers will serve as an incentive for people to take steps such as masking that would prevent their mild infection from spreading to other people. The virus is spreading, were are told, including widely throughout the vaccinated population, because of the unvaccinated who are now dirty non-citizens., On Tuesday, French President Macron gave an interview to the La Parisien, in which he dehumanized the unvaccinated and urged other citizens to hate them, likening them to their worst enemies., I am not about pissing off the French people, Macron told the readers of Le Parisien. TheFinancial Timesreported on April 29: The World Health Organization has defended Swedens approach to tackling Covid-19, saying it has implemented strong measures to tackle the virus. At the end of the 15 day period, we will make a decision as to which way we want to go. What we need to do is flatten that down, Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told reporters Tuesday. If 9 percent of people 60 and older needed to be hospitalized, having only 10,000 people in that age range get infected, vs. 1 million, meant 89,000 fewer people in the hospital. In many states, total deaths have plateauedbut show no sign of disappearing. Privacy Policy The story behind the coronavirus 'flatten the curve' chart - Fast But covid-19 is more preventable than other medical issues that might spur the need to be admitted to the ICU particularly with vaccines available that greatly reduce the chance of serious illness. Thus, on April 2, Anthony Fauci, one of the lead bureaucrats on the White Houses COVID-19 advisory commission insisted that mandatory social distancingcould not be eased until further notice: If we get to the part of the curve where it goes down to essentially no new cases, no deaths for a period of time, I think it makes sense that you have to relax social distancing, [Fauci] added. The story behind the coronavirus 'flatten the curve' chart - Fast Should we not be shaking hands? Hard-left activist Matthew Yglesias, for example,complainedthis week that flattening the curve isnt good enough.. But we were right that flooding hospitals with preventable illness was not helpful. Checkout the memes below. While watching the spread of the chart, Li and Molder predicted that its simplicity would help people understand the benefits of interventions like social distancing. The fear mongering is just going to ramp up as the weeks go on. That would have less people infected. Last week, the number of coronavirus cases in the US jumped more than 40% in just 24 hours. Its time we act that way. For visiting Era of Light. Weeks to Slow - Greg Lukianoff. Taiwan* New cases confirmed each day (7-day-average) down The first case of COVID-19 in Taiwan* was reported 992 days ago on January 21, 2020. Everyone will be exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, and most people will become infected. Initially, we were told to wear gloves and be wary of surfaces, only to have the CDC months later backtrack and state the "virus does not spread easily from contaminated surfaces." None of it made much difference against the virus, it turned out.